PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x847Ff626De0103975f31B78716156ae788873Eb6-1781624715874

0x847ff626de0103975f31b78716156ae788873eb6

Realised P&L
$-150.72
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$27.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.966$10.61+$0.61
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2200.235$9.16+$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$8.19$0.21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? · Yes0.6930.000$0.00$79.70
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00$15.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$4.40
09-22 08:33Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-22 08:26Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-21 16:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.22$8.58
06-29 11:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.0676022875$10.40
06-28 07:12Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?SELL0.36$3.60
06-27 15:19Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.33$6.98
06-27 15:18Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.26$2.86
06-27 14:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?BUY0.74$29.60
06-27 12:32Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?BUY0.86$30.10
06-26 15:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?SELL0.2$12.00
06-24 23:53Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?SELL0.001$0.04
06-24 23:43Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-24 23:42Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?SELL0.1$10.34
06-24 22:32Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.2899999956$30.00