0x847Ff626De0103975f31B78716156ae788873Eb6-1781624715874
0x847ff626de0103975f31b78716156ae788873eb6
- Realised P&L
- $-150.72
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $27.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.966 | $10.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.235 | $9.16 | +$0.58 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $8.19 | −$0.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.70 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.97at 0.460Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$16.71at 0.726Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$13.33at 0.806Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
- +$7.46at 0.507Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$7.28at 0.260Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 16:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.58 |
| 06-29 11:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0676022875 | $10.40 |
| 06-28 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-27 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.98 |
| 06-27 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.86 |
| 06-27 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 06-27 12:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $30.10 |
| 06-26 15:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 06-24 23:53 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-24 23:43 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 23:42 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.34 |
| 06-24 22:32 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |