PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x847e444088d262aae1bc507a8fcfe86986e3cef4

Realised P&L
$-25.35
Volume
$177.03
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$70.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? · Yes0.9540.992$10.40+$0.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? · Yes0.9600.997$10.38+$0.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18? · No0.9590.994$10.36+$0.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9510.958$10.07+$0.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? · No0.9500.949$9.98$0.02
Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18? · Yes0.9600.935$9.74$0.26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? · No0.9400.910$9.69$0.31
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET · Down0.9630.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:31Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.96$10.00
09-17 04:31Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.9654142284$10.00
09-17 04:16Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18?BUY0.96$10.00
09-16 17:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17?BUY0.949999981$10.00
09-16 17:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?BUY0.953999996$10.00
09-16 17:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18?BUY0.9589999702$10.00
09-16 17:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.9599999693$10.00
09-16 16:45Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16?BUY0.9529999485$10.00
09-16 16:31Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?BUY0.95$10.00
09-16 16:16Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?BUY0.949999981$10.00
09-16 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?BUY0.9509999958$10.00
09-16 15:46Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
07-24 06:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.7799999813$5.00
07-24 06:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSELL0.99$6.90
07-24 06:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.8599999828$6.00