0x847e444088d262aae1bc507a8fcfe86986e3cef4
- Realised P&L
- $-25.35
- Volume
- $177.03
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $70.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.992 | $10.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.997 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18? · No | 0.959 | 0.994 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.958 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? · No | 0.950 | 0.949 | $9.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.935 | $9.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? · No | 0.940 | 0.910 | $9.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET · Down | 0.963 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$0.86at 0.877Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$0.39at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?
- +$0.39at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?
- +$0.36at 0.966Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.9654142284 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? | BUY | 0.953999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9589999702 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9599999693 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9529999485 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9509999958 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.90 |
| 07-24 06:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $6.00 |