0x847403A4e5dBf1f7B7268141c90F3836b73B7d60-1779296150321
0x847403a4e5dbf1f7b7268141c90f3836b73b7d60
- Realised P&L
- $-3.18
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $53.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish top 8 in UCL league phase? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.935 | $53.43 | +$9.43 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.26at 0.163Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$5.80at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$0.49at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
- +$0.35at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$0.11at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.7699999979 | $44.00 |
| 09-29 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.00 |
| 09-18 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $4.38 |
| 09-18 01:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $13.88 |