0x84738c7cdf653a50910faf9a14f1d11224a1791f
0x84738c7cdf653a50910faf9a14f1d11224a1791f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.28
- Volume
- $81.97
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.620 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.195 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.440Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.389Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.49at 0.510Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?
- +$1.22at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:49 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:31 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:54 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:04 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:17 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999683 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 01:10 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.5810002225 | $1.52 |
| 09-03 11:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.52 |
| 09-01 23:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998879 | $1.52 |
| 09-01 06:55 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999645 | $1.52 |