PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x846A762782f15C6398685a068d8A090b2A0a63F7-1773549851046

0x846a762782f15c6398685a068d8a090b2a0a63f7

Realised P&L
$369.69
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$27.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0900.019$20.71$74.88
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.050$2.42$1.01
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.158$1.89$0.13
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.059$1.46$0.44
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1900.185$0.93$0.03
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$39.80
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$100.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.4430.000$0.00$6.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.2730.000$0.00$140.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$20.95
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$100.80
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$20.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex0.2800.000$0.00$14.00
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy0.3800.000$0.00$20.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:24Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076$1.14
09-16 07:19Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076$1.14
09-15 07:50Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.087$0.43
09-12 09:09Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089$1.78
09-11 10:12Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089$0.44
09-11 09:53Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.088$0.97
09-11 09:50Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.088$1.06
09-11 07:12Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.004$0.18
09-11 07:01Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.33
09-11 06:59Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
09-11 06:36Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.173$1.04
09-11 06:34Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.174$1.04
09-02 09:31Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.09$95.59
08-22 08:50Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.28$14.00
08-22 08:48Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?BUY0.21$12.60