0x8467e33a3d0d6281cd8cc3a849e57b97934c84c1
0x8467e33a3d0d6281cd8cc3a849e57b97934c84c1
- Realised P&L
- $-7.31
- Volume
- $234.24
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.935 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.93at 0.433Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$3.27at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$1.77at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$1.69at 0.391Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$1.62at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 15:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 00:18 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 13:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 13:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |