PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

clng

0x846489a150887a30f2b64e97c1cde51dda5a1a3e

Realised P&L
$138.58
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$329.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · No0.5000.945$172.11+$81.05
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes0.3520.395$112.15+$12.15
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.5000.225$22.50$27.50
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.3810.531$13.95+$3.95
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.5800.935$8.55+$3.24
Will the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.3500.002$0.03$7.32
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 20:21Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?BUY0.3522164598$100.00
07-12 13:01Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7839999997$298.06
07-06 21:38Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?BUY0.3809999787$10.00
05-03 17:49Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?BUY0.5$50.00