PolyBot

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Traders

AshTheGreat

0x84604d510d00ae7b8f95827b5528f024677563e3

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$67.5k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6460.845$326.82+$76.82
Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6370.630$247.08−$2.92
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8? · Yes0.5250.465$221.19−$28.81
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.7410.645$217.48−$32.52
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? · No0.6900.535$193.84−$56.16
Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6200.335$135.08−$114.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$11.16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$39.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$35.00
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 · Under0.1290.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$5.46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$99.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.5060.000$0.00−$40.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24? · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$90.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 18:26Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5BUY0.6199999992$250.00
10-06 18:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?SELL0.933$364.45
10-06 18:04Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6374501992$250.00
10-06 18:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8?BUY0.525564237$250.00
10-03 23:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?BUY0.719999999$109.75
10-03 23:22Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.741432598$250.00
10-03 23:22Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?BUY0.6899999992$250.00
10-03 23:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6459999984$250.00
10-03 23:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?BUY0.64$250.00
10-03 22:45Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.6208696198$250.00
09-15 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.3399999989$100.00
09-07 21:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSELL0.5250666261$103.63
09-07 21:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.5066495243$100.00
07-19 19:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5988235903$150.00
07-07 17:33Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.05$31.91