0x8459cfc40f6820187a5f110c19eea23061c6c443
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $9.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-21? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.495 | $6.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.705 | $2.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.235 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 CA Osasuna? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 1 ACF Fiorentina? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.98at 0.024Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
- +$27.92at 0.162Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
- +$23.91at 0.043Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?
- +$17.33at 0.059Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
- +$17.09at 0.060Exact Score: SS Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:09 | Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 16:09 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 16:09 | Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 1 ACF Fiorentina? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 CA Osasuna? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 16:07 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:57 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.0669999961 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:57 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 17:34 | Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 14:42 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:41 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:41 | Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 1 Ipswich Town FC? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:40 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:39 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 2 - 1 Sunderland AFC? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |