PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fansted

0x8458aea32dc2237d6c7bf1e5f0ad42bc4ff3585e

Realised P&L
$37.72
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$0.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 2? · Yes0.1200.006$0.43−$7.57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 2? · Yes0.1310.009$0.18−$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or below on November 2? · Yes0.0140.001$0.08−$2.11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 2? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01−$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 30? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$5.56
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00−$6.20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 29? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 28? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 29? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 30? · Yes0.5010.000$0.00−$15.48
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$23.60
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev0.3220.000$0.00−$29.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 1? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$6.65
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka · Jiri Lehecka0.4000.000$0.00−$5.87
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 30? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 2?SELL0.2$3.64
11-01 20:12Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1?SELL0.995$14.94
11-01 16:24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1?SELL0.1327002801$1.89
11-01 16:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1?BUY0.6299653795$9.46
11-01 15:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1?BUY0.4689999257$2.00
11-01 15:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1?BUY0.5989999696$6.00
10-31 18:42Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or below on November 2?BUY0.00685$0.69
10-31 18:31Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-31 18:13Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 2?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-31 18:13Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 2?BUY0.1218826085$1.00
10-31 18:07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 2?SELL0.0743936731$0.85
10-31 18:04Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.32$3.20
10-31 17:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?SELL0.83$6.28
10-31 17:07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?SELL0.1209372071$1.29
10-31 16:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 2?BUY0.12$3.00