pebujerevo1s
0x8456b792d90a35df760af5d056dd56463a51a9af
- Realised P&L
- $4.13
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $12.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.948 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.968 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.013 | $1.01 | −$5.36 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.065 | $0.53 | −$4.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.67at 0.300Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
- +$9.64at 0.162US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.22at 0.320US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$6.92at 0.390US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$6.90at 0.420Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:24 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 21:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.06 |
| 10-14 21:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.55 |
| 10-12 06:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.07 |
| 10-12 06:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.07 |
| 10-12 06:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.07 |
| 10-12 04:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.05 |
| 10-12 04:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.03 |
| 10-12 04:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.34 |
| 10-12 03:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.01 |
| 10-12 03:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.48 |
| 10-12 01:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.29 |
| 09-05 19:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 17:19 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.01 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |