ilithiosgpt
0x844f730d674b1e484db9a0687d4fe27bccfbe978
- Realised P&L
- $-311.11
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $222.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.12at 0.941Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.46at 0.671Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?
- +$19.41at 0.885Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.65at 0.850Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$15.96at 0.723Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:15 | Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B? | BUY | 0.7476635514 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 18:11 | Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 08:42 | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.9316154599 | $80.00 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:44 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 19:49 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.8165443793 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 19:49 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in September? | BUY | 0.925 | $75.00 |
| 09-17 19:33 | Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5399999882 | $13.74 |
| 09-14 15:18 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.57 |
| 09-13 18:48 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.84 |
| 09-13 18:36 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4599999809 | $7.69 |
| 09-13 18:32 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9640059479 | $140.00 |
| 09-13 18:17 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.89 | $148.79 |
| 09-13 18:03 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8572297039 | $108.43 |
| 09-09 16:50 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in September? | SELL | 0.0714031052 | $6.21 |