aryanmishra
0x844f2645e7b5f18f9681fb00d7fd8b306241e2ed
- Realised P&L
- $-191.94
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $42.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.883 | 0.585 | $42.40 | −$21.60 |
| Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.22 |
| Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.23 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.90at 0.779Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$15.60at 0.837Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$15.40at 0.895Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?
- +$10.42at 0.388Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$10.37at 0.785WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:50 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8829775683 | $64.00 |
| 09-21 18:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.7296700563 | $44.23 |
| 09-18 08:39 | Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4699999972 | $39.22 |
| 08-17 13:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17? | BUY | 0.8299999966 | $22.00 |
| 08-17 12:57 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17? | SELL | 0.28 | $22.76 |
| 08-16 13:30 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.5499999951 | $44.71 |
| 08-15 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.88 |
| 08-15 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 18:20 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 14? | SELL | 0.79 | $20.84 |
| 08-14 17:12 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.3789999804 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 17:12 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 10 2026? | SELL | 0.9144923638 | $40.12 |
| 08-14 11:14 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.7749999977 | $34.00 |
| 08-14 07:56 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 14? | SELL | 0.39 | $35.20 |
| 08-14 05:04 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.6899999975 | $62.28 |
| 08-13 05:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 13? | BUY | 0.8599999981 | $54.00 |