PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aryanmishra

0x844f2645e7b5f18f9681fb00d7fd8b306241e2ed

Realised P&L
$-191.94
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$42.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8830.585$42.40−$21.60
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$39.22
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5740.000$0.00−$92.05
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$44.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$28.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:50Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8829775683$64.00
09-21 18:15Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21?BUY0.7296700563$44.23
09-18 08:39Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4699999972$39.22
08-17 13:29WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17?BUY0.8299999966$22.00
08-17 12:57WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?SELL0.28$22.76
08-16 13:30WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?BUY0.5499999951$44.71
08-15 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?SELL0.2$5.88
08-15 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
08-14 18:20Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 14?SELL0.79$20.84
08-14 17:12Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.3789999804$10.00
08-14 17:12Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 10 2026?SELL0.9144923638$40.12
08-14 11:14Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.7749999977$34.00
08-14 07:56Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 14?SELL0.39$35.20
08-14 05:04Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.6899999975$62.28
08-13 05:11WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 13?BUY0.8599999981$54.00