maujunior
0x84449b0eed0049163b181efd82b3e886f142f178
- Realised P&L
- $-8.40
- Volume
- $28.94
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-29.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.065 | $0.26 | −$3.74 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.826Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
- +$0.12at 0.989Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 01:25 | McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 05-19 03:45 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.3979999543 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 13:11 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BUY | 0.9889999995 | $6.00 |
| 05-13 13:11 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 13:11 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |