0x84431eb94dd647049d82b4c9e5e719102b8a2988
0x84431eb94dd647049d82b4c9e5e719102b8a2988
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $911.5k
- Markets traded
- 465
- Open portfolio
- $328.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded465
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Atlanta Dream | 0.405 | 0.395 | $328.00 | −$8.08 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$388.50 |
| Will Greece vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.312Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?
- +$958.23at 0.257Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5
- +$829.65at 0.144LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$823.62at 0.196England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$748.07at 0.348Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 20:05 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.4047313153 | $336.08 |
| 10-09 15:12 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.019789119 | $12.00 |
| 10-09 15:12 | Will Greece vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 21:47 | Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.02 | $6.71 |
| 10-01 21:47 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.45 |
| 10-01 21:45 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $8.80 |
| 10-01 17:17 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 17:17 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $385.00 |
| 10-01 01:09 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5) | SELL | 0.991 | $399.12 |
| 09-30 23:18 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5599999603 | $4.51 |
| 09-30 23:17 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5574035129 | $220.00 |
| 09-30 23:01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.61 | $236.39 |
| 09-30 22:14 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6499999829 | $1.90 |
| 09-30 22:14 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $250.00 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.489999896 | $1.79 |