Kaisie
0x843e949f1d004c39141451c4034c818c5e1b8028
- Realised P&L
- $-114.76
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 381
- Open portfolio
- $38.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded381
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.05at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$23.10at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$16.50at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$15.70at 0.594Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$12.30at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:15 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 01:34 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 00:48 | Will CF América win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.9879999785 | $4.96 |
| 08-02 02:28 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.88 |
| 08-02 02:03 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $4.96 |
| 08-02 01:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 08-02 00:53 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-02 00:51 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 21:20 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 15:49 | Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 15:38 | Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 08:38 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 06:17 | Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.01 |
| 08-01 06:05 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-31 22:53 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |