PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kaisie

0x843e949f1d004c39141451c4034c818c5e1b8028

Realised P&L
$-114.76
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$38.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:15Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95
08-03 01:34Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95
08-03 00:48Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.9879999785$4.96
08-02 02:28Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)BUY0.99$4.88
08-02 02:03Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)BUY0.98$4.96
08-02 01:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$4.98
08-02 00:53Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)BUY0.99$4.95
08-02 00:51Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 21:20Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 15:49Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 15:38Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.9929999988$5.00
08-01 08:38Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 06:17Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?BUY0.99$3.01
08-01 06:05Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95
07-31 22:53Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.994$4.97
Trader Kaisie · PolyBot