Kaisie
0x843e949f1d004c39141451c4034c818c5e1b8028
- Realised P&L
- $-280.24
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 547
- Open portfolio
- $24.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded547
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.09at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$29.05at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$28.05at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$23.10at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$16.50at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $4.61 |
| 09-18 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $8.53 |
| 09-17 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2929687443 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $12.15 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $9.71 |
| 09-17 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4015670754 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 23:12 | Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-16 23:12 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 09-16 21:07 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |