hebeio
0x843c437b13c05f8d96dfb237c569072cdb83257b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $110.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $40.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $20.11 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 1? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $19.98 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.6kat 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.90at 0.843Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$1.10at 0.989Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners
- +$1.00at 0.500No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$0.48at 0.968US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.13 |
| 09-30 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-03 03:41 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $12.26 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 08-03 03:33 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.28 |
| 07-23 13:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.67 |
| 07-23 13:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-23 13:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 06-14 13:46 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.59 |
| 06-14 13:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 06-14 13:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 05-13 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.59 |
| 05-13 04:04 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-13 04:03 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.95 |
| 04-15 03:46 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on April 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.50 |