PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glitched

0x843c4243b613a535d8636f60800cb9aeedc17e28

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$11.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3140.285$7.4k−$738.18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0890.055$2.4k−$1.5k
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.0270.038$1.2k+$345.34
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? · Yes0.0080.008$531.09+$1.19
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? · Yes0.0080.006$81.25−$18.75
House control favorite on November 2? · Republican Party0.0090.005$71.97−$46.85
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? · Yes0.0050.006$37.80+$7.80
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? · Yes0.0080.007$37.50−$2.50
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? · Yes0.0070.007$32.78+$2.79
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? · Yes0.0060.006$30.00+$0.00
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes0.0110.011$28.64−$1.36
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? · Yes0.0080.007$28.13−$1.87
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? · Yes0.0030.003$25.00−$4.99
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? · Yes0.0080.006$24.38−$5.62
Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1? · Yes0.0400.036$17.85−$2.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:59House control favorite on November 2?BUY0.01$6.86
11-01 16:59House control favorite on November 2?BUY0.0096153846$50.00
11-01 16:58Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$100.00
11-01 16:58Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?BUY0.008$30.00
11-01 16:58Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?BUY0.0047615474$30.00
11-01 16:58Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?BUY0.008$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?BUY0.0068631421$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?BUY0.003$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?BUY0.006$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?BUY0.008$40.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?BUY0.011$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?BUY0.009$30.00
11-01 16:57Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.0426143187$100.00
11-01 16:56Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?BUY0.0614443898$10.00
11-01 16:56Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?BUY0.03$9.99