TheLosingMachine
0x8435e34a9746ced06acc3bad00f015bd54dcfca7
- Realised P&L
- $132.92
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 536
- Open portfolio
- $18.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded536
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.15at 0.270International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)
- +$9.77at 0.599Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$8.73at 0.775T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
- +$7.50at 0.230International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1)
- +$7.46at 0.675International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:37 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-15 17:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-14 23:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-10 23:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.37 |
| 08-05 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 08-01 13:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 07-28 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-21 15:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 07-20 21:40 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.501 | $5.01 |
| 07-20 21:36 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.502 | $5.02 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-12 15:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.189 | $1.89 |
| 07-12 15:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.389 | $3.89 |
| 06-24 16:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-15 16:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |