PolyBot

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Traders

TheLosingMachine

0x8435e34a9746ced06acc3bad00f015bd54dcfca7

Realised P&L
$132.92
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
536
Open portfolio
$18.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded536
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6250.790$16.60+$3.45
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes0.2900.285$1.43$0.03
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first? · 110k0.6600.000$0.00$1.00
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.10
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2) · India0.6100.000$0.00$3.05
Syria strikes Israel by Friday? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.10
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$3.89
Will Trump say "Heaven" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.10
Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.20
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$4.14
Will another company be the second largest in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 20:37Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.29$1.45
09-15 17:48Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.9$9.00
09-14 23:05Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.93$4.65
09-10 23:58Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?SELL0.61$10.37
08-05 03:36Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.86$8.60
08-01 13:44Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.77$4.62
07-28 14:13Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$3.45
07-21 15:23Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.61$3.66
07-20 21:40Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.501$5.01
07-20 21:36Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.502$5.02
07-15 20:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$8.20
07-12 15:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.189$1.89
07-12 15:44Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.389$3.89
06-24 16:59Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$3.60
06-15 16:57Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?SELL0.13$0.78