Louisdfsg
0x842e2f0d4555429b826dd41632a7d55892e550ab
- Realised P&L
- $-24.82
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $12.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Patriots (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.490 | 0.485 | $12.13 | −$0.12 |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts · Michael Geerts | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.15 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.77 |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.66 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.80at 0.500Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$118.56at 0.500Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$74.25at 0.500Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$18.92at 0.500Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$16.43at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:25 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 08-24 12:14 | Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $9.66 |
| 08-17 07:51 | Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.78 | $28.86 |
| 08-04 03:45 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts | BUY | 0.45 | $12.15 |
| 07-20 07:34 | Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $19.30 |
| 07-09 02:18 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $8.70 |
| 06-24 11:31 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.16 |
| 06-01 09:53 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $34.96 |
| 06-01 09:51 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $35.00 |
| 05-27 11:12 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.42 | $25.77 |
| 05-12 07:02 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $26.97 |
| 05-12 07:01 | Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12? | BUY | 0.62 | $21.70 |
| 05-12 07:00 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 07:00 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 04-09 11:33 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $30.96 |