PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ronaldvasquez

0x842c284da8ff012688b6b4fdc24dbf8b6eef85d8

Realised P&L
$-45.53
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$64.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 19? · No0.7100.770$46.54+$3.63
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.5860.590$18.00+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$30.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:59Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?BUY0.5859999883$17.88
09-16 06:38Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.5099999992$30.16
01-31 13:47Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.9989999768$5.86
01-30 17:25Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.997$5.01
01-30 16:44Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.9969999157$4.61
01-30 15:01Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?BUY0.999$20.92
01-30 13:12Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.9980350025$43.17
12-30 08:47Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$17.65
12-30 01:05Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.992$5.20
12-30 00:18Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.997$25.26
12-29 19:15Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.999$30.49
10-30 18:38Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.9919999825$24.53
10-30 17:39Will Solana dip to $120 in October?BUY0.998$22.32
09-29 11:04Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$14.13
09-29 03:43Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?BUY0.997999956$12.34