PolyBot

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Traders

0x842a03e99c7956482416f19ef02c0827509e7d3b

0x842a03e99c7956482416f19ef02c0827509e7d3b

Realised P&L
$-25.79
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$39.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:12Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$75.00
10-02 13:33Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-02 13:33Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-01 10:28Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$3.00
09-30 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-30 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-23 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-23 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-22 15:13Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$6.00
09-14 17:16Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$2.00
08-02 18:25Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 11:27Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$3.00
07-02 18:59Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
07-02 01:38Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$1.00
06-25 12:10Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.001$10.00