0x842a03e99c7956482416f19ef02c0827509e7d3b
0x842a03e99c7956482416f19ef02c0827509e7d3b
- Realised P&L
- $-25.79
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $39.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $37.50 | −$37.50 |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.78at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$0.92at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.532Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:12 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $75.00 |
| 10-02 13:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:28 | Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:13 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 17:16 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:25 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:27 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 18:59 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 01:38 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 12:10 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |