PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

antoniocensabella

0x8424b59b122c898b9acb5692a79892306cd7a503

Realised P&L
$-40.16
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0750.013$1.39−$6.61
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0320.000$0.00−$5.00
Cerebras IPO before 2027? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$9.21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 22:46Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.0079164972$9.21
04-29 19:29Glean IPO before 2027?SELL0.17$2.46
04-29 19:28Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.0254356955$1.45
04-07 22:48US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.01$5.90
04-06 07:49Brex IPO before 2027?BUY0.0643200014$3.00
04-05 19:40US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.003$3.54
04-04 07:53Glean IPO before 2027?SELL0.18$2.60
04-01 20:10Glean IPO before 2027?SELL0.12$3.47
03-31 06:55Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL0.015$0.48
03-29 20:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.032$5.00
03-29 00:22Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0326862062$5.00
03-27 21:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$5.00
03-26 22:45Glean IPO before 2027?BUY0.0865384469$5.00
03-25 21:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.013$5.00
03-24 21:33Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?BUY0.1274509589$5.00