1ampa
0x8423f41912dfdfc7d7e6e77d0e657be12369424a
- Realised P&L
- $-20.42
- Volume
- $647.88
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $5.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W15 Cipolletti: Luciana Moyano vs Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi · Luciana Moyano | 0.690 | 1.000 | $2.90 | +$0.90 |
| W15 Cipolletti: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Maria Florencia Urrutia · Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso | 0.740 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Braga (Doubles): Gornes/Walkow vs Gurri/Izquierdo · Gornes/Walkow | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.31 |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.430Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
- +$5.47at 0.600Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?
- +$4.86at 0.410Will POTUS tweet 10-14 times Jan 22-29?
- +$4.80at 0.510Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?
- +$4.41at 0.270Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:05 | Braga (Doubles): Gornes/Walkow vs Gurri/Izquierdo | BUY | 0.859999974 | $3.31 |
| 10-09 14:04 | W15 Cipolletti: Luciana Moyano vs Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 14:03 | W15 Cipolletti: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Maria Florencia Urrutia | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 14:03 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 13:55 | Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.84 | $10.24 |
| 10-09 12:54 | Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.54 |
| 10-09 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5891519437 | $11.09 |
| 10-09 08:43 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 08:43 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.2551494908 | $3.00 |
| 02-25 14:19 | Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.98 |
| 02-23 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 24? | BUY | 0.6414473406 | $6.00 |
| 02-23 20:13 | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.91 |