0xpolisai
0x8421e3aab1b2d70a4ee289f7d3304a1772fff3d8
- Realised P&L
- $13.1k
- Volume
- $723.6k
- Markets traded
- 14,075
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,075
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$535.83at 0.223Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$418.87at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$381.71at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$366.34at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$344.20at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $56.40 |
| 09-21 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 09-21 09:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5517888485 | $16.80 |
| 09-21 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999911 | $13.80 |
| 09-21 08:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $3.78 |
| 09-21 08:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $5.66 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2586932119 | $12.30 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4843286779 | $8.54 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.2227667269 | $2.46 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 08:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8992099834 | $53.61 |
| 09-21 08:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $0.46 |
| 09-21 08:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999954 | $21.60 |