kraben006
0x84212ee459d1edaf35983bbec342b0806282d8ec
- Realised P&L
- $0.05
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.664 | $4.9k | +$2.2k |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Mbappé | 0.305 | 0.475 | $1.1k | +$392.56 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $11.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $9.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:36 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.4576308288 | $89.90 |
| 10-09 13:22 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $33.00 |
| 10-08 23:55 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3531262167 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 23:55 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3180977369 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 12:18 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.2768005354 | $66.70 |
| 10-07 00:41 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 00:41 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 10-07 00:36 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3255246862 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 00:36 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3100775194 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 00:35 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4790314342 | $239.00 |
| 10-07 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $5.11 |
| 10-07 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 00:25 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3023775112 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 14:06 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.2228768154 | $9.71 |
| 10-02 04:02 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3099999952 | $15.38 |