0x842118e75759f6d91faa933452424f7c19da0a8b
- Realised P&L
- $-524.94
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $222.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.843 | 0.921 | $185.15 | +$15.87 |
| UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Patricio Pitbull | 0.307 | 0.305 | $19.87 | −$0.13 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.219 | 0.195 | $17.81 | −$2.19 |
| Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ednilson Santos | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.42at 0.206UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$92.64at 0.560UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$86.99at 0.615Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$73.65at 0.580UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$54.26at 0.689O/U 1.5 Rounds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:49 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.2189433581 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 10:48 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3070325279 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 10:47 | Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 00:55 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6 | $143.52 |
| 09-12 00:53 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.59 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 14:32 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 08:51 | UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 08:50 | UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 21:54 | UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5799999973 | $70.00 |
| 07-30 17:53 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 20:41 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 20:38 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:58 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:55 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |