0x841Ff7664a363A502639fb6EaB10724d5fa1bBd0-1765385591475
0x841ff7664a363a502639fb6eab10724d5fa1bbd0
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $246.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $10.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$497.67at 0.976Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
- +$435.89at 0.947Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$426.79at 0.900Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
- +$333.26at 0.982Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm
- +$306.62at 0.140Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 19:09 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $7.0k |
| 07-24 02:12 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.9879999997 | $1.4k |
| 07-17 11:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.958 | $95.80 |
| 07-17 11:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.956 | $20.08 |
| 07-17 01:37 | Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer? | SELL | 0.9616860084 | $167.23 |
| 07-16 21:39 | Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer? | BUY | 0.6766303785 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:30 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 07-11 19:00 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.957 | $957.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.256 | $50.94 |
| 07-09 14:59 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $258.00 |
| 07-06 20:21 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 07-04 20:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $598.80 |
| 06-26 14:36 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.957 | $191.40 |
| 06-25 02:41 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.9892756853 | $900.00 |
| 06-18 21:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.8598333333 | $515.90 |