PolyBot

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Traders

0x841Ff7664a363A502639fb6EaB10724d5fa1bBd0-1765385591475

0x841ff7664a363a502639fb6eab10724d5fa1bbd0

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$327.0k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State · Arizona State0.9500.947$996.32−$3.68
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.615$991.94−$8.06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7960.835$524.65+$24.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8470.879$519.06+$19.06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8900.885$497.19−$2.81
Spread: Arizona State (-20.5) · Arizona State0.5200.455$87.50−$12.50
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? · Yes0.0300.032$6.29+$0.30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.3930.041$4.10−$35.20
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? · No0.8270.000$0.00−$100.00
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 15 and 20 minutes long? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" this week? · Yes0.6280.000$0.00−$114.99
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$67.99
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · No0.5470.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 03:05Hawai'i vs. Arizona StateBUY0.95$1000.00
10-11 01:16Air Force vs. Northern IllinoisBUY0.98$7.0k
10-11 00:55Spread: Arizona State (-20.5)BUY0.5199999981$100.00
10-06 11:55Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999999$500.00
10-06 01:15Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999999$500.00
10-05 15:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7957639891$500.00
10-05 01:45Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.8899999999$500.00
10-05 01:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8472092369$500.00
10-03 21:48Ohio State vs. IowaBUY0.9557945042$1.0k
10-03 21:43Maryland vs. NebraskaSELL0.451948809$259.74
10-03 20:01Maryland vs. NebraskaBUY0.8699999999$500.00
10-03 16:30Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaBUY0.96$960.00
10-03 16:27Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaBUY0.96$960.00
10-03 03:46Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaBUY0.96$960.00
10-03 03:40Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaBUY0.96$2.9k