PolyBot

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Traders

0x841ae5187f3530d7c7ff04147ac24b0f701afc5d

0x841ae5187f3530d7c7ff04147ac24b0f701afc5d

Realised P&L
$-25.79
Volume
$464.21
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$51.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 17:31Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.5299998607$1.56
10-09 13:36Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?SELL0.2$2.15
10-09 12:01Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?SELL0.2$4.64
10-09 11:43Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?BUY0.7499999776$16.72
10-09 10:52Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?BUY0.839999849$3.56
10-09 06:47Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.3519999364$1.77
10-09 06:47Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.3457401417$1.73
10-08 23:04Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.498132005$10.00
10-08 23:01Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.369$0.50
10-08 22:59Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?SELL0.3$11.37
10-08 22:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?SELL0.2$1.23
10-08 22:58Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?SELL0.21$2.44
10-08 22:58Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?SELL0.19$3.48
10-08 22:57Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?SELL0.25$7.33
10-08 18:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.5299999327$2.60