0x841ae5187f3530d7c7ff04147ac24b0f701afc5d
0x841ae5187f3530d7c7ff04147ac24b0f701afc5d
- Realised P&L
- $-25.79
- Volume
- $464.21
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $51.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?
- +$1.55at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10?
- +$1.05at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?
- +$0.12at 0.923Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5299998607 | $1.56 |
| 10-09 13:36 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.15 |
| 10-09 12:01 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.64 |
| 10-09 11:43 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999776 | $16.72 |
| 10-09 10:52 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.839999849 | $3.56 |
| 10-09 06:47 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.3519999364 | $1.77 |
| 10-09 06:47 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.3457401417 | $1.73 |
| 10-08 23:04 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.498132005 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 23:01 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.369 | $0.50 |
| 10-08 22:59 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $11.37 |
| 10-08 22:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.23 |
| 10-08 22:58 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.44 |
| 10-08 22:58 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.48 |
| 10-08 22:57 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.33 |
| 10-08 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5299999327 | $2.60 |