0x8417e79f5289d67e0981a3192f51a9b346a9d67f
0x8417e79f5289d67e0981a3192f51a9b346a9d67f
- Realised P&L
- $-160.01
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.017 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.34at 0.484Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$87.92at 0.374BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$86.05at 0.638Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?
- +$66.99at 0.236Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$51.50at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 02:35 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0939999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 02:34 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 03:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5485441609 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 00:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.777 | $14.55 |
| 08-20 15:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5337972138 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 15:49 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 BMW Championship? | BUY | 0.075238027 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 15:48 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 BMW Championship? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 15:48 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 BMW Championship? | BUY | 0.0779999331 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 03:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3076301197 | $14.65 |
| 08-17 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.0406504065 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.019047619 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 07:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 07:14 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |