PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8414463c2553ef5E3caFB95CBa5786D24BB08C9C-1763666183775

0x8414463c2553ef5e3cafb95cba5786d24bb08c9c

Realised P&L
$-64.19
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$13.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.0840.039$13.00$15.03
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 2? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$4.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? · Yes0.3910.000$0.00$10.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$4.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$30.00
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00$7.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 10:07Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0379999965$10.00
08-07 10:06Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
08-07 10:06Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?BUY0.025$5.00
07-15 19:16Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?BUY0.025$3.00
07-15 19:16Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?BUY0.0439999918$5.00
07-15 19:16Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.083916069$5.00
07-15 19:15Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
07-15 19:11Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.008$3.00
07-15 19:10Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?BUY0.019$11.00
07-15 19:09Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0311441585$4.00
07-15 19:08Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0626096232$10.00
06-27 18:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?BUY0.0516368194$30.00
06-27 15:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 27?BUY0.004$6.00
06-16 18:46Spread: Senegal (-2.5)BUY0.0090000001$1.00
06-09 10:10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?BUY0.0189999817$1.00