0x8414463c2553ef5E3caFB95CBa5786D24BB08C9C-1763666183775
0x8414463c2553ef5e3cafb95cba5786d24bb08c9c
- Realised P&L
- $-64.19
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $13.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.00at 0.190US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$53.14at 0.070Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?
- +$33.67at 0.229Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 10:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 10:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? | BUY | 0.0439999918 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.083916069 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 19:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 19:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.019 | $11.00 |
| 07-15 19:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.0311441585 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 19:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.0626096232 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 18:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28? | BUY | 0.0516368194 | $30.00 |
| 06-27 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.004 | $6.00 |
| 06-16 18:46 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 10:10 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |