ClarkPeters
0x841044859fe4d81ac9bd76815e1c3e62c92fd4ec
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $675.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.025 | $2.3k | −$704.43 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $1.3k | −$507.53 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.052 | $10.07 | +$4.58 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.32at 0.635Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$279.35at 0.434Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$269.45at 0.260Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$154.87at 0.006Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$152.00at 0.830No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 18:06 | Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0298561588 | $4.00 |
| 06-29 21:59 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0149052116 | $372.63 |
| 06-11 00:25 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5499999468 | $3.62 |
| 06-04 00:03 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3579999876 | $15.00 |
| 05-01 16:10 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.2999999948 | $29.00 |
| 04-29 15:57 | James Comey arrested by May 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $68.60 |
| 04-29 01:13 | James Comey arrested by April 29? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 00:40 | James Comey arrested by May 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.74 |
| 04-29 00:34 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $207.38 |
| 04-29 00:32 | James Comey arrested by May 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $60.80 |
| 04-19 21:47 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.027 | $135.00 |
| 04-17 17:11 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028 | $16.83 |
| 04-16 17:23 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.026 | $195.00 |
| 04-16 17:20 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.019 | $105.45 |
| 03-22 03:51 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $93.60 |