PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sebaOliveto

0x840e2b076b4e2d5837b3ce6c8222c1382ad6b9ed

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$244.5k
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$21.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 00:59Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?SELL0.25$25.00
10-03 18:38Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?SELL0.6$12.00
09-29 21:46Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
09-27 22:08Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.44$8.80
09-26 15:37Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?SELL0.92175$92.17
09-19 01:41Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?SELL0.61$30.50
09-19 01:41Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?SELL0.79$39.50
09-07 08:40Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?SELL0.28$11.20
09-04 16:52Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)SELL0.124$2.48
09-04 14:14Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)SELL0.204$4.08
09-04 14:14Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?SELL0.7837773$156.76
09-01 20:07Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?SELL0.36$21.60
09-01 20:07Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?SELL0.85$17.00
09-01 20:06Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?SELL0.6050037509$24.19
08-31 20:19Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?SELL0.64$128.00