sebaOliveto
0x840e2b076b4e2d5837b3ce6c8222c1382ad6b9ed
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $244.5k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $21.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.99at 0.650Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$200.00at 0.790Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?
- +$152.21at 0.340Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
- +$119.97at 0.736Pistons vs. Magic
- +$100.78at 0.070Pistons vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:59 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11? | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 18:38 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 21:46 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-27 22:08 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-26 15:37 | Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | SELL | 0.92175 | $92.17 |
| 09-19 01:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-19 01:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 09-07 08:40 | Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 09-04 16:52 | Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | SELL | 0.124 | $2.48 |
| 09-04 14:14 | Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | SELL | 0.204 | $4.08 |
| 09-04 14:14 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.7837773 | $156.76 |
| 09-01 20:07 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $21.60 |
| 09-01 20:07 | Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-01 20:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.6050037509 | $24.19 |
| 08-31 20:19 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.64 | $128.00 |