PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8409c339469c7ddbbe29abe2df1dba4386b09d15

0x8409c339469c7ddbbe29abe2df1dba4386b09d15

Realised P&L
$-2.22
Volume
$96.37
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$3.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? · Up0.5401.000$1.85+$0.85
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3600.415$1.15+$0.15
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.6600.640$0.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:43Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-05 08:17SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-05 00:17Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-01 12:21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-01 04:10Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-27 02:49Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 09:23Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.4$1.00
09-22 23:00Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-19 07:39Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-18 22:55Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-17 11:37Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-16 15:28S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-16 06:43Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-09 13:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-08 10:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799998912$1.00