0x840263698bb4f27bc9b21866dc1869956f38de49
0x840263698bb4f27bc9b21866dc1869956f38de49
- Realised P&L
- $-48.31
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.99at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$1.04at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$1.00at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 17:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |