PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gsdffgysas

0x83fbaa355ea6e15fd52de42274fdfd35213b2a3a

Realised P&L
$43.29
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$130.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7800.890$114.10+$14.10
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No0.9990.996$13.95−$0.05
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9500.978$1.33+$0.04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9820.999$1.17+$0.02
Golden Knights vs. Ducks · Ducks0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:45Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$14.00
09-03 03:09Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.9819999999$14.00
08-19 07:55Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
08-19 07:55Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.995$5.00
08-19 07:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9929999985$4.00
08-02 07:07Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.999$9.00
08-02 07:07Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
08-02 07:06Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
07-23 04:12Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
07-23 04:12Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-23 04:11Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.999$8.00
07-23 04:11Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
07-23 04:11Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-23 04:11Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.98$7.00
07-23 04:11Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$6.00