PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ElonButler

0x83f54d70b393ee84d5487a75d80ceba56ea84ae3

Realised P&L
$925.23
Volume
$1.76M
Markets traded
4,703
Open portfolio
$2.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,703
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.364$1.82$0.68
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.5000.078$0.39$2.11
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · Yes0.5000.167$0.17$0.33
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.017$0.08$2.42
Will Dayne St. Clair win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? · Yes0.5000.005$0.03$2.47
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.5000.019$0.02$0.49
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.5000.004$0.02$2.48
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.002$0.01$4.99
Will Byron Buxton win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.5000.003$0.01$2.48
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.003$0.01$2.49
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.003$0.01$2.49
Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? · Yes0.5000.003$0.01$2.49
Will Sonny Gray win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.5000.002$0.01$2.49
Will Dillon Dingler win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.5000.002$0.01$2.49
Will Kévin Denkey win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.5000.002$0.01$2.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 19:16Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.00
07-17 19:15Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.005$0.02
07-17 19:15Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.11$0.08
07-17 19:14Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.005$0.00
07-17 19:14Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.041$0.03
07-17 19:14Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026?SELL0.005$0.02
07-17 19:14Will Phil Neville win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?SELL0.012$0.01
07-17 19:13Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0%?SELL0.055$0.28
07-17 19:13Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%?SELL0.003$0.01
07-17 19:13Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?SELL0.006$0.03
07-17 19:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?SELL0.31$0.13
07-17 19:12Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.026$0.02
07-17 19:09Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.001$0.01
07-17 19:09Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.001$0.01
07-17 19:09Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.001$0.01