ElonButler
0x83f54d70b393ee84d5487a75d80ceba56ea84ae3
- Realised P&L
- $928.25
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 4,703
- Open portfolio
- $4.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,703
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$906.30at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$692.29at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$672.53at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
- +$622.48at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 19:16 | Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-17 19:15 | Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 19:15 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.08 |
| 07-17 19:14 | Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.00 |
| 07-17 19:14 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.03 |
| 07-17 19:14 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 19:14 | Will Phil Neville win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 19:13 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.28 |
| 07-17 19:13 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 19:13 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 07-17 19:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.13 |
| 07-17 19:12 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 19:09 | Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 19:09 | Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 19:09 | Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |