PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x83f1838607b95463fa17ea7a5c404b1a706362fd

0x83f1838607b95463fa17ea7a5c404b1a706362fd

Realised P&L
$-13.36
Volume
$190.47
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$3.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3500.700$2.00+$1.00
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · No0.6400.615$0.96−$0.04
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.4600.405$0.88−$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:41Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-10 05:33Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-08 08:09Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-08 00:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-08 00:08Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 16:07Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-07 08:02Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-07 00:01Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
08-19 07:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-14 15:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
08-14 06:29Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-13 22:26US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.25$1.00
08-08 12:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 15:07Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.3719998891$2.00
08-06 07:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00