crumbl
0x83ed6d21b643ef6a5dfd16c1c06948dc0c6d03eb
- Realised P&L
- $6.5k
- Volume
- $817.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,399
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,399
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No | 0.991 | 1.000 | $915.97 | +$7.86 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.725 | $217.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $199.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.998 | $75.56 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.391Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot
- +$680.00at 0.320Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$600.02at 0.471Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$430.00at 0.570Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$389.55at 0.991Youri Tielemans: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 17:17 | Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-25 13:28 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-25 13:27 | Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-25 12:41 | Will Yuki Tsunoda get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.03 |
| 09-25 12:26 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 09-25 12:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9869285332 | $276.33 |
| 09-25 12:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.977 | $29.74 |
| 09-20 20:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:26 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-16 20:33 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.98 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Enzo Le Fee: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.99 | $62.37 |
| 09-13 18:51 | Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.99 | $55.43 |
| 09-13 14:39 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 09-13 14:39 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9978627586 | $2.0k |