0x83E2442bCd545c409CD421149a9506fD60ae28aa-1771844280264
0x83e2442bcd545c409cd421149a9506fd60ae28aa
- Realised P&L
- $171.88
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $14.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.86at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$94.66at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$81.19at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$46.86at 0.249Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$35.99at 0.459Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.178217819 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 18:49 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0489066563 | $3.76 |
| 10-31 18:26 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $6.82 |
| 10-31 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6305418719 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $9.62 |
| 10-31 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $67.20 |