PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x83E2442bCd545c409CD421149a9506fD60ae28aa-1771844280264

0x83e2442bcd545c409cd421149a9506fd60ae28aa

Realised P&L
$171.88
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$14.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? · Yes0.5500.535$9.73−$0.27
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? · No0.5500.495$4.50−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down0.1350.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.1840.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.5599999642$5.00
11-01 01:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.178217819$5.00
10-31 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-31 18:49Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0489066563$3.76
10-31 18:26Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
10-31 18:15Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?BUY0.549999956$5.00
10-31 12:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.43$6.82
10-31 12:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6305418719$10.00
10-31 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSELL0.25$9.62
10-31 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.2599999964$10.00
10-31 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.119999999$10.00
10-31 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.119999999$10.00
10-31 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.1299999999$10.00
10-31 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-31 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.99$67.20