PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kegli

0x83e055eb6e91fdbd850aff56ad2ac0f50cb2bbe7

Realised P&L
$15.4k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$12.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7460.925$1.9k+$370.97
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5090.555$1.5k+$126.24
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7500.735$1.5k$30.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$1.1k$135.61
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2100.215$860.00+$20.00
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1860.205$837.52+$76.15
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.5670.495$742.50$107.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.125$625.00+$25.00
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9590.993$522.18+$17.68
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.085$425.00+$25.00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0400.045$416.56+$46.28
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0190.022$351.09+$54.61
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0290.025$309.93$42.54
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1130.026$267.97$871.34
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0600.045$217.62$72.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4929099828$50.00
09-13 21:15Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.749$39.23
09-13 21:07Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.75052436$187.63
09-13 21:04Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.821032$205.26
09-13 21:02Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.869$217.25
09-13 18:48Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.71$142.00
09-13 10:55Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.586$122.98
09-11 21:59US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonBUY0.7299999988$125.00
09-10 20:23Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.36$180.00
09-10 15:31Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.003$0.41
09-06 13:56Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.01$2.82
09-06 13:55Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.011$33.00
09-06 13:50Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.063$6.72
09-03 12:50Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.079$52.03
08-30 22:23Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.035$34.70