kegli
0x83e055eb6e91fdbd850aff56ad2ac0f50cb2bbe7
- Realised P&L
- $15.4k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.2kat 0.250Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$7.6kat 0.051Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.3kat 0.512Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?
- +$6.4kat 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?
- +$4.1kat 0.258Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4929099828 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 21:15 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.749 | $39.23 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.75052436 | $187.63 |
| 09-13 21:04 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.821032 | $205.26 |
| 09-13 21:02 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.869 | $217.25 |
| 09-13 18:48 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 09-13 10:55 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.586 | $122.98 |
| 09-11 21:59 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.7299999988 | $125.00 |
| 09-10 20:23 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.36 | $180.00 |
| 09-10 15:31 | Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.41 |
| 09-06 13:56 | Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.82 |
| 09-06 13:55 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.011 | $33.00 |
| 09-06 13:50 | Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.72 |
| 09-03 12:50 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.079 | $52.03 |
| 08-30 22:23 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.035 | $34.70 |