0x83d867E68B517e44c03c74974422c247e399DF80-1778397266896
0x83d867e68b517e44c03c74974422c247e399df80
- Realised P&L
- $-266.18
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $118.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.029 | $96.98 | −$153.01 |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.032 | $13.33 | −$36.67 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.017 | $8.50 | −$41.50 |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.35at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 12:08 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 12:07 | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 12:07 | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 11:11 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999995 | $150.00 |
| 05-10 07:36 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999994 | $100.00 |