boberborber
0x83d45cefd45854417279462f2a684f0b28d17702
- Realised P&L
- $-16.56
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $68.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.905 | $28.05 | −$0.78 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · No | 0.679 | 0.700 | $14.11 | +$0.42 |
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.375 | $7.50 | −$9.70 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.309 | $5.32 | +$0.17 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.785 | $5.20 | +$0.03 |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes | 0.834 | 0.834 | $5.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.579 | 0.597 | $3.39 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.30at 0.729Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$1.48at 0.383Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$0.87at 0.788Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.850Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
- +$0.12at 0.473Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 07:50 | Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.579 | $3.29 |
| 10-21 07:29 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.694 | $4.94 |
| 10-21 06:48 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.299 | $5.15 |
| 10-20 21:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $5.16 |
| 10-20 20:50 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.663 | $4.91 |
| 10-20 20:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $4.85 |
| 10-20 20:29 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.709 | $5.25 |
| 10-20 19:25 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.5 | $12.93 |
| 10-20 19:08 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.70 |
| 10-20 15:49 | Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.91 |
| 10-20 14:37 | England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England | BUY | 0.62 | $13.08 |
| 10-20 14:37 | Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.83 |
| 10-20 14:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.59 | $13.07 |
| 10-20 14:36 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.331 | $1.66 |
| 10-20 14:32 | England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England | SELL | 0.57 | $15.32 |