Timewilltellll
0x83d0493f1f0d82e80b3313fe8ace1d5c3426c927
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $592.3k
- Markets traded
- 7,469
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,469
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. USA: Draw at halftime? · No | 0.260 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$49.90 |
| Will Brazil vs. USA end in a draw? · No | 0.530 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$29.97 |
| Brazil vs. USA: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$19.98 |
| AE Kifisiás vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.03at 0.156Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?
- +$126.76at 0.223Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?
- +$120.69at 0.290LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winner
- +$116.34at 0.453Will Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
- +$108.85at 0.320Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:13 | AE Kifisiás vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3699999914 | $6.87 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.0558804312 | $3.42 |
| 09-16 15:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.3413175231 | $31.09 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3293600978 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7628797829 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:30 | Brazil vs. USA: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 14:22 | Will Brazil vs. USA end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.1630590004 | $8.68 |
| 09-16 14:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5636123865 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 13:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |