PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x83c440Cb631356D139dFeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70-1760677362923

0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70

Realised P&L
$-58.40
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$181.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.7600.981$25.82+$5.82
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1050.125$23.75+$3.75
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6500.745$22.92+$2.92
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.595$22.45+$2.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.445$22.25+$2.25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7100.695$19.58$0.42
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.835$14.65+$4.65
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3700.665$7.19+$3.19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3900.395$6.08+$0.08
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.0540.025$4.64$5.36
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5500.445$4.05$0.95
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0940.182$3.88+$1.88
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.6200.585$1.89$0.11
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$1.38$2.63
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4800.605$1.26+$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7099999918$20.00
09-06 09:33Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6499999724$20.00
09-06 09:30Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3699999695$4.00
09-06 09:26Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.3899999558$3.00
09-06 09:26Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.3899999558$3.00
09-06 09:26Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.0579933342$4.00
09-06 09:25Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.0513702551$6.00
07-25 21:08Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
07-25 21:06Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
07-02 04:17Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.397$1.10
07-02 04:17Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?SELL0.9407976953$14.70
07-02 04:16Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.84$81.29
06-05 15:33Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.954$53.74
05-12 02:11Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.66$7.81
05-12 02:09Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.66$7.81