0x83c440Cb631356D139dFeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70-1760677362923
0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70
- Realised P&L
- $-12.37
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $273.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.42at 0.147Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$40.46at 0.895Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$21.29at 0.620Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$14.00at 0.393Paris curfew by October 21?
- +$13.18at 0.718Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:29 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:28 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0318091451 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 03:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.49 | $13.80 |
| 10-27 01:24 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4035433039 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 01:24 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 03:23 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 03:22 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 03:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1719999947 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 03:18 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1719999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 03:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 03:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $184.24 |
| 10-25 23:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9209999972 | $150.00 |
| 10-25 22:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6959999903 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 22:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.668 | $32.35 |
| 10-25 22:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.686 | $99.66 |