0x83c440Cb631356D139dFeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70-1760677362923
0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70
- Realised P&L
- $-58.40
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $181.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.42at 0.147Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$21.29at 0.620Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$13.18at 0.718Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$9.66at 0.320Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 09:33 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999724 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 09:30 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3699999695 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 09:26 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 09:26 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 09:26 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0579933342 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 09:25 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0513702551 | $6.00 |
| 07-25 21:08 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 21:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 04:17 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.397 | $1.10 |
| 07-02 04:17 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.9407976953 | $14.70 |
| 07-02 04:16 | Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $81.29 |
| 06-05 15:33 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.954 | $53.74 |
| 05-12 02:11 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.81 |
| 05-12 02:09 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.81 |