devn00b
0x83b91e7b933b3f60795086e3f49219add4df8506
- Realised P&L
- $339.46
- Volume
- $81.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $411.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.14at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $3,800 December 8-14?
- +$89.79at 0.961Will Ethereum reach $3,700 January 12-18?
- +$86.31at 0.930Will Ethereum reach $3,700 December 8-14?
- +$41.67at 0.960Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$41.45at 0.960Will Ethereum reach $3,700 January 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.92 |
| 06-17 18:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? | BUY | 0.991 | $1000.00 |
| 05-11 14:50 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? | BUY | 0.990186067 | $1000.00 |
| 04-20 14:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $999.26 |
| 04-12 03:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? | BUY | 0.987 | $761.58 |
| 04-08 03:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.9819756098 | $200.78 |
| 03-23 09:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $1000.00 |
| 03-16 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1579999765 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 16:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1292631042 | $3.84 |
| 03-16 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.01 |
| 03-16 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.41 |
| 03-16 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.59 |
| 03-16 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.83 |
| 03-14 17:58 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999768 | $4.82 |