ProBetsOnly
0x83a171177d847b0ed6832249c5e7789587df1029
- Realised P&L
- $213.00
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $72.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.52at 0.033Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
- +$140.41at 0.139Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$50.72at 0.176Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$48.62at 0.418US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$39.65at 0.200Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:12 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.985 | $44.99 |
| 10-26 16:49 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2189054687 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 16:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1486811978 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 16:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 16:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1099999992 | $13.00 |
| 10-24 13:22 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 13:50 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.119760479 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 13:48 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 13:48 | Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2317389692 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 13:46 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.1397205561 | $5.00 |