PolyBot

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Traders

0x838e42197b16fa02a0e74cd1856b3cdd35e8becb

0x838e42197b16fa02a0e74cd1856b3cdd35e8becb

Realised P&L
$-13.72
Volume
$755.28
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$52.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:13Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.3899999615$3.55
10-09 20:13Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 11?BUY0.64$15.24
10-09 20:02Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 10?BUY0.7120529424$4.48
10-09 19:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?BUY0.5899999897$11.45
10-09 18:45Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 10?BUY0.619999994$12.34
10-09 10:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.2299999731$1.88
10-09 10:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.8099999514$2.50
10-09 09:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-09 08:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?SELL0.32$1.06
10-09 08:25Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.73$3.23
10-09 08:25Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.85$15.78
10-09 08:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.63$19.03
10-09 08:25Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.959$42.78
10-09 08:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.862$42.48
10-09 08:25Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.86$53.86