PolyBot

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Traders

0x838bca591b24604b530f61162c6f38938e3c66a5

0x838bca591b24604b530f61162c6f38938e3c66a5

Realised P&L
$7.42
Volume
$211.14
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$100.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:34Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?BUY0.9553854863$10.00
09-26 02:07Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.9$10.00
09-26 01:50Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?BUY0.9471774102$10.00
09-26 01:28Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
09-26 01:28Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-26 01:26Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?BUY0.9231343208$10.00
09-26 01:25Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
09-26 01:25Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
09-26 01:25Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?BUY0.96$10.00
09-25 02:21Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.95$10.00
09-25 02:19Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
09-21 18:20Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
09-21 18:19Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
09-21 16:57Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?BUY0.9879999984$5.00
09-20 12:19Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.9299999888$5.00