PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8388f2059cfcc1ffe350c92f8610d6f723912426

Realised P&L
$-2.50
Volume
$212.04
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$8.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.6800.997$2.93+$0.93
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes0.7300.750$2.05+$0.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.949$1.92+$0.34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.3000.235$1.57$0.43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4700.115$0.49$1.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:43Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-15 15:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-10 00:48Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
09-09 04:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.469999906$2.00
09-08 18:46LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.43
09-08 10:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.68$2.00
09-08 00:25Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-07 16:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
09-07 07:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899999758$1.22
09-04 02:29Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
09-04 01:59Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
09-03 16:15Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.6799999299$1.94
08-22 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.77$2.00
08-21 22:02Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-20 13:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.625$2.00